Points against expected points
Every player plotted by xP against Pts, with a fitted line. Above the line is over-delivering; below it, under. Back to the table.
214 players · dashed line is the least-squares fit (Pts ≈ 1.04 × xP − 0.1) · highlighted: Egan
Biggest gaps between points and xP
The twenty players furthest from their expected points, either way.
| Player | Pts | xP | P vs xP |
|---|---|---|---|
| AjayiHUL · DEF | 25 | 11.5 | +13.5 |
| EganHUL · DEF | 23 | 10.8 | +12.2 |
| MendyHUL · DEF | 24 | 12.4 | +11.6 |
| GilesHUL · DEF | 20 | 8.6 | +11.4 |
| CoyleHUL · DEF | 12 | 3.9 | +8.1 |
| GvardiolMCI · DEF | 22 | 14.4 | +7.6 |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEF | 21 | 13.7 | +7.3 |
| Maitland-NilesEVE · DEF | 7 | 1.0 | +6.0 |
| O'ReillyMCI · DEF | 4 | 9.6 | −5.6 |
| ChilwellCRY · DEF | 7 | 1.6 | +5.4 |
| VuskovicBHA · DEF | 18 | 13.0 | +5.0 |
| O'SheaIPS · DEF | 7 | 12.0 | −5.0 |
| KhalailiCRY · DEF | 6 | 10.9 | −5.0 |
| HillBOU · DEF | 6 | 10.9 | −4.9 |
| SilvaBOU · DEF | 7 | 11.4 | −4.4 |
| GreavesIPS · DEF | 2 | 6.2 | −4.2 |
| DedićNEW · DEF | 13 | 8.9 | +4.1 |
| DiopIPS · DEF | 7 | 11.1 | −4.1 |
| KayodeBRE · DEF | 16 | 12.2 | +3.8 |
| MitchellCRY · DEF | 16 | 12.3 | +3.7 |