Players with HIGH confidence price change predictions
HIGH confidence predictions indicate players who are very close to their price change threshold based on current transfer activity. These predictions use the v1.6 algorithm with learned thresholds and are updated every 5 minutes.
FPLWatch predicts FPL price changes by tracking real-time transfer activity and comparing it against dynamic thresholds. Each player has a different threshold based on their ownership — the algorithm calculates how close each player is to triggering a rise or fall.
Predictions are colour-coded by confidence level. High-confidence predictions (shown in green or red) indicate players very likely to change overnight. Use these to decide whether to make early transfers to lock in value or avoid a drop.
FPLWatch predictions are based on real-time transfer activity data from the FPL API. Predictions become more accurate as the day progresses — by late evening, high-confidence predictions are typically reliable. Early in the day, transfer momentum can still shift.
Predictions are updated hourly throughout the day. Transfer activity typically accelerates in the evening as more managers log in, so predictions made after 8 PM GMT tend to be the most reliable for overnight changes.