Points against expected points
Every player plotted by xP against Pts, with a fitted line. Above the line is over-delivering; below it, under. Back to the table.
62 players · dashed line is the least-squares fit (Pts ≈ 1.03 × xP − 0.5)
Biggest gaps between points and xP
The twenty players furthest from their expected points, either way.
| Player | Pts | xP | P vs xP |
|---|---|---|---|
| GvardiolMCI · DEF | 22 | 14.4 | +7.6 |
| TarkowskiEVE · DEF | 21 | 13.7 | +7.3 |
| O'ReillyMCI · DEF | 4 | 9.6 | −5.6 |
| VuskovicBHA · DEF | 18 | 13.0 | +5.0 |
| KhalailiCRY · DEF | 6 | 10.9 | −5.0 |
| HillBOU · DEF | 6 | 10.9 | −4.9 |
| SilvaBOU · DEF | 7 | 11.4 | −4.4 |
| GustoCHE · DEF | 3 | 6.3 | −3.4 |
| Van de VenTOT · DEF | 9 | 12.2 | −3.2 |
| JamesCHE · DEF | 2 | 5.2 | −3.2 |
| RichardsCRY · DEF | 4 | 7.2 | −3.2 |
| TruffertBOU · DEF | 5 | 8.1 | −3.1 |
| HallNEW · DEF | 18 | 15.1 | +2.9 |
| MurilloNFO · DEF | 13 | 15.9 | −2.9 |
| BijolLEE · DEF | 12 | 9.2 | +2.8 |
| MartinezMUN · DEF | 4 | 6.8 | −2.8 |
| AraujoLIV · DEF | 9 | 6.3 | +2.6 |
| RúbenMCI · DEF | 10 | 12.6 | −2.6 |
| MuharemovićLEE · DEF | 14 | 11.6 | +2.4 |
| Pedro PorroTOT · DEF | 8 | 10.4 | −2.4 |