Newcastle vs Aston Villa projection — GW7

Projected goals

Newcastle

1.93

Aston Villa

1.49

Clean-sheet odds

Newcastle

22%

Aston Villa

14%

Win, draw, loss

48%

NEW win

22%

Draw

30%

AVL win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

NEW goals down the side, AVL goals across the top.

AVL

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

NEW0

3%

5%

4%

2%

1%

0%

1

6%

9%

7%

3%

1%

0%

2

6%

9%

7%

3%

1%

0%

3

4%

6%

4%

2%

1%

0%

4

2%

3%

2%

1%

0%

5

1%

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Newcastle

WissaFWD · 87 min · 51% goal
4.7
4.7
HallDEF · 90 min · 3% goal
4.0
4.0
ElangaMID · 77 min · 18% goal
3.9
3.9
BarnesMID · 90 min · 14% goal
3.5
3.5
HorníčekGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
3.3
3.3

Aston Villa

BuendíaMID · 83 min · 24% goal
3.9
3.9
McGinnMID · 87 min · 24% goal
3.5
3.5
BarkleyMID · 80 min · 15% goal
3.4
3.4
KamaraMID · 90 min · 7% goal
3.1
3.1
George HemmingsMID · 78 min · 9% goal
3.0
3.0

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 16:42. Newcastle's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Aston Villa's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.