Arsenal vs Leeds projection — GW6

Projected goals

Arsenal

2.02

Leeds

0.45

Clean-sheet odds

Arsenal

64%

Leeds

13%

Win, draw, loss

75%

ARS win

18%

Draw

7%

LEE win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

ARS goals down the side, LEE goals across the top.

LEE

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

ARS0

8%

4%

1%

0%

1

17%

8%

2%

0%

2

17%

8%

2%

0%

3

12%

5%

1%

0%

4

6%

3%

1%

0%

5

2%

1%

0%

6

1%

0%

Top projected players

Arsenal

CalafioriDEF · 79 min · 12% goal
5.7
5.7
GabrielDEF · 90 min · 12% goal
5.5
5.5
SakaMID · 82 min · 32% goal
5.4
5.4
WhiteDEF · 90 min · 5% goal
5.2
5.2
RayaGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
5.2
5.2

Leeds

StachMID · 90 min · 7% goal
3.5
3.5
AmpaduMID · 90 min · 3% goal
3.1
3.1
MuharemovićDEF · 90 min · 1% goal
2.9
2.9
Calvert-LewinFWD · 84 min · 22% goal
2.7
2.7
JustinDEF · 90 min · 2% goal
2.5
2.5

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 00:37. Arsenal's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Leeds's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.