Spurs vs Aston Villa projection — GW5

Projected goals

Spurs

1.40

Aston Villa

1.12

Clean-sheet odds

Spurs

33%

Aston Villa

25%

Win, draw, loss

43%

TOT win

27%

Draw

30%

AVL win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

TOT goals down the side, AVL goals across the top.

AVL

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

TOT0

8%

9%

5%

2%

1%

0%

1

11%

13%

7%

3%

1%

0%

2

8%

9%

5%

2%

1%

0%

3

4%

2%

1%

0%

4

1%

0%

5

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Spurs

Van HeckeDEF · 90 min · 7% goal
3.7
3.7
KinskyGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
3.6
3.6
TelMID · 77 min · 12% goal
3.4
3.4
TonaliMID · 85 min · 10% goal
3.3
3.3
BentancurMID · 75 min · 8% goal
3.0
3.0

Aston Villa

BuendíaMID · 83 min · 18% goal
3.5
3.5
BarkleyMID · 80 min · 11% goal
3.2
3.2
McGinnMID · 87 min · 19% goal
3.2
3.2
KamaraMID · 90 min · 5% goal
3.1
3.1
George HemmingsMID · 78 min · 7% goal
2.9
2.9

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 00:37. Spurs's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Aston Villa's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.