Newcastle vs Hull City projection — GW5

Projected goals

Newcastle

1.62

Hull City

1.17

Clean-sheet odds

Newcastle

31%

Hull City

20%

Win, draw, loss

48%

NEW win

25%

Draw

27%

HUL win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

NEW goals down the side, HUL goals across the top.

HUL

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

NEW0

6%

7%

4%

2%

0%

1

10%

12%

7%

3%

1%

0%

2

8%

9%

6%

2%

1%

0%

3

4%

5%

3%

1%

0%

4

2%

1%

0%

5

1%

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Newcastle

HallDEF · 90 min · 3% goal
4.4
4.4
WissaFWD · 87 min · 46% goal
4.2
4.2
HorníčekGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
3.9
3.9
ElangaMID · 77 min · 16% goal
3.7
3.7
BarnesMID · 90 min · 12% goal
3.4
3.4

Hull City

EganDEF · 85 min · 1% goal
3.3
3.3
TzolakisGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
3.3
3.3
BelloumiMID · 79 min · 10% goal
3.2
3.2
McBurnieFWD · 85 min · 29% goal
3.2
3.2
AjayiDEF · 76 min · 11% goal
3.0
3.0

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 00:37. Newcastle's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Hull City's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.