Man City vs Sunderland projection — GW5

Projected goals

Man City

2.20

Sunderland

0.75

Clean-sheet odds

Man City

47%

Sunderland

11%

Win, draw, loss

70%

MCI win

18%

Draw

12%

SUN win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

MCI goals down the side, SUN goals across the top.

SUN

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

MCI0

5%

4%

1%

0%

1

11%

9%

3%

1%

0%

2

13%

10%

4%

1%

0%

3

9%

7%

3%

1%

0%

4

5%

4%

1%

0%

5

2%

1%

0%

6

1%

0%

Top projected players

Man City

HaalandFWD · 80 min · 48% goal
5.0
5.0
GuéhiDEF · 80 min · 17% goal
4.7
4.7
DonnarummaGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
4.4
4.4
RúbenDEF · 80 min · 3% goal
4.0
4.0
GvardiolDEF · 75 min · 5% goal
3.8
3.8

Sunderland

E.Le FéeMID · 81 min · 15% goal
3.1
3.1
XhakaMID · 85 min · 4% goal
3.0
3.0
BrobbeyFWD · 69 min · 15% goal
2.5
2.5
SadikiMID · 79 min · 7% goal
2.5
2.5
N.AnguloMID · 58 min · 4% goal
2.0
2.0

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 00:37. Man City's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Sunderland's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.