Brighton vs Arsenal projection — GW5

Projected goals

Brighton

0.88

Arsenal

1.37

Clean-sheet odds

Brighton

25%

Arsenal

42%

Win, draw, loss

24%

BHA win

28%

Draw

48%

ARS win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

BHA goals down the side, ARS goals across the top.

ARS

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

BHA0

11%

14%

10%

5%

2%

0%

1

9%

13%

9%

4%

1%

0%

2

4%

6%

4%

2%

1%

0%

3

1%

2%

1%

0%

4

0%

5

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Brighton

De CuyperDEF · 81 min · 13% goal
3.4
3.4
GomezMID · 88 min · 9% goal
3.2
3.2
VerbruggenGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
3.1
3.1
VuskovicDEF · 90 min · 4% goal
3.1
3.1
GroßMID · 90 min · 10% goal
2.8
2.8

Arsenal

SakaMID · 82 min · 23% goal
4.4
4.4
ØdegaardMID · 74 min · 16% goal
4.3
4.3
CalafioriDEF · 79 min · 8% goal
4.3
4.3
GabrielDEF · 90 min · 8% goal
4.1
4.1
RayaGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
4.1
4.1

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 00:37. Brighton's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Arsenal's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.