Leeds vs Newcastle projection — GW4

Projected goals

Leeds

1.64

Newcastle

0.88

Clean-sheet odds

Leeds

42%

Newcastle

19%

Win, draw, loss

55%

LEE win

25%

Draw

20%

NEW win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

LEE goals down the side, NEW goals across the top.

NEW

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

LEE0

8%

7%

3%

1%

0%

1

13%

12%

5%

1%

0%

2

11%

10%

4%

1%

0%

3

6%

5%

2%

1%

0%

4

2%

1%

0%

5

1%

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Leeds

MuharemovićDEF · 90 min · 3% goal
4.8
4.8
JustinDEF · 90 min · 5% goal
4.4
4.4
StachMID · 90 min · 15% goal
4.4
4.4
BogleDEF · 72 min · 16% goal
4.3
4.3
Calvert-LewinFWD · 84 min · 42% goal
3.9
3.9

Newcastle

HallDEF · 90 min · 1% goal
3.3
3.3
HorníčekGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
3.1
3.1
WissaFWD · 87 min · 28% goal
3.0
3.0
ElangaMID · 77 min · 9% goal
3.0
3.0
BarnesMID · 90 min · 7% goal
2.9
2.9

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 11:26. Leeds's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Newcastle's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.