Man Utd vs Man City projection — GW4

Projected goals

Man Utd

2.01

Man City

1.81

Clean-sheet odds

Man Utd

16%

Man City

13%

Win, draw, loss

43%

MUN win

21%

Draw

36%

MCI win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

MUN goals down the side, MCI goals across the top.

MCI

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

MUN0

2%

4%

2%

1%

0%

1

4%

8%

7%

4%

2%

1%

0%

2

4%

8%

7%

4%

2%

1%

0%

3

3%

5%

3%

1%

0%

4

2%

3%

2%

1%

0%

5

1%

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Man Utd

B.FernandesMID · 90 min · 39% goal
5.8
5.8
MbeumoMID · 90 min · 39% goal
5.3
5.3
TielemansMID · 82 min · 14% goal
3.5
3.5
CunhaMID · 76 min · 12% goal
3.3
3.3
MainooMID · 62 min · 8% goal
2.8
2.8

Man City

HaalandFWD · 80 min · 42% goal
4.5
4.5
FodenMID · 58 min · 20% goal
3.2
3.2
SemenyoMID · 80 min · 7% goal
3.1
3.1
NdiayeMID · 79 min · 8% goal
3.0
3.0
CherkiMID · 51 min · 9% goal
2.9
2.9

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 11:26. Man Utd's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Man City's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.