Chelsea vs Hull City projection — GW4

Projected goals

Chelsea

2.32

Hull City

0.90

Clean-sheet odds

Chelsea

41%

Hull City

10%

Win, draw, loss

69%

CHE win

18%

Draw

13%

HUL win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

CHE goals down the side, HUL goals across the top.

HUL

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

CHE0

4%

2%

0%

1

9%

8%

4%

1%

0%

2

11%

10%

4%

1%

0%

3

8%

7%

3%

1%

0%

4

5%

4%

2%

1%

0%

5

2%

1%

0%

6

1%

0%

Top projected players

Chelsea

RogersMID · 86 min · 30% goal
5.4
5.4
João PedroFWD · 90 min · 52% goal
5.3
5.3
PalmerMID · 87 min · 28% goal
5.0
5.0
LacroixDEF · 90 min · 2% goal
4.3
4.3
HatoDEF · 71 min · 2% goal
3.4
3.4

Hull City

BelloumiMID · 79 min · 8% goal
3.0
3.0
McBurnieFWD · 85 min · 23% goal
2.9
2.9
EganDEF · 85 min · 1% goal
2.6
2.6
TzolakisGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
2.6
2.6
SlaterMID · 85 min · 5% goal
2.5
2.5

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 11:26. Chelsea's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Hull City's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.