Aston Villa vs Nott'm Forest projection — GW4

Projected goals

Aston Villa

1.01

Nott'm Forest

1.24

Clean-sheet odds

Aston Villa

29%

Nott'm Forest

36%

Win, draw, loss

30%

AVL win

28%

Draw

42%

NFO win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

AVL goals down the side, NFO goals across the top.

NFO

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

AVL0

10%

13%

8%

3%

1%

0%

1

11%

13%

8%

3%

1%

0%

2

5%

7%

4%

2%

1%

0%

3

2%

1%

0%

4

0%

1%

0%

5

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Aston Villa

BuendíaMID · 83 min · 17% goal
3.5
3.5
BarkleyMID · 80 min · 10% goal
3.2
3.2
MaatsenDEF · 81 min · 3% goal
3.1
3.1
McGinnMID · 87 min · 17% goal
3.1
3.1
KamaraMID · 90 min · 5% goal
3.1
3.1

Nott'm Forest

Gibbs-WhiteMID · 87 min · 29% goal
4.4
4.4
MurilloDEF · 87 min · 8% goal
4.3
4.3
N.WilliamsDEF · 87 min · 4% goal
3.9
3.9
MilenkovićDEF · 87 min · 3% goal
3.8
3.8
SelsGKP · 90 min · 0% goal
3.6
3.6

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 11:26. Aston Villa's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Nott'm Forest's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.