Arsenal vs Chelsea projection — GW3

Projected goals

Arsenal

1.66

Chelsea

0.72

Clean-sheet odds

Arsenal

49%

Chelsea

19%

Win, draw, loss

60%

ARS win

24%

Draw

16%

CHE win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

ARS goals down the side, CHE goals across the top.

CHE

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

ARS0

9%

7%

2%

1%

0%

1

15%

11%

4%

1%

0%

2

13%

9%

3%

1%

0%

3

7%

5%

2%

0%

4

3%

2%

1%

0%

5

1%

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Arsenal

SakaMID · 63 min · 19% goal
3.8
3.8
CalafioriDEF · 69 min · 3% goal
3.6
3.6
WhiteDEF · 71 min · 4% goal
3.5
3.5
GabrielDEF · 71 min · 4% goal
3.3
3.3
RayaGKP · 67 min · 0% goal
3.2
3.2

Chelsea

João PedroFWD · 67 min · 22% goal
3.1
3.1
RogersMID · 66 min · 9% goal
2.9
2.9
PalmerMID · 67 min · 8% goal
2.9
2.9
LaviaMID · 56 min · 6% goal
2.2
2.2
LacroixDEF · 71 min · 1% goal
2.1
2.1

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 22:59. Arsenal's rating carries 40% of this season's xG and Chelsea's carries 40%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.