Newcastle vs Bournemouth projection — GW3

Projected goals

Newcastle

2.42

Bournemouth

1.79

Clean-sheet odds

Newcastle

17%

Bournemouth

9%

Win, draw, loss

51%

NEW win

20%

Draw

29%

BOU win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

NEW goals down the side, BOU goals across the top.

BOU

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

NEW0

1%

3%

2%

1%

0%

1

4%

6%

3%

2%

1%

0%

2

4%

8%

7%

4%

2%

1%

0%

3

3%

6%

3%

2%

1%

0%

4

2%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0%

5

1%

2%

1%

0%

6

0%

1%

0%

Top projected players

Newcastle

WissaFWD · 65 min · 53% goal
4.6
4.6
ElangaMID · 62 min · 14% goal
3.2
3.2
HallDEF · 71 min · 3% goal
2.9
2.9
BarnesMID · 69 min · 7% goal
2.7
2.7
L.MileyMID · 65 min · 6% goal
2.5
2.5

Bournemouth

EvanilsonFWD · 61 min · 29% goal
3.1
3.1
TavernierMID · 69 min · 11% goal
2.9
2.9
KluivertMID · 62 min · 13% goal
2.8
2.8
ScottMID · 68 min · 7% goal
2.7
2.7
RayanMID · 68 min · 10% goal
2.6
2.6

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 22:59. Newcastle's rating carries 40% of this season's xG and Bournemouth's carries 40%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.