Hull City vs Aston Villa projection — GW3

Projected goals

Hull City

1.51

Aston Villa

0.83

Clean-sheet odds

Hull City

43%

Aston Villa

22%

Win, draw, loss

53%

HUL win

26%

Draw

21%

AVL win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

HUL goals down the side, AVL goals across the top.

AVL

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

HUL0

10%

8%

3%

1%

0%

1

14%

12%

5%

1%

0%

2

11%

9%

4%

1%

0%

3

6%

5%

2%

1%

0%

4

2%

1%

0%

5

1%

0%

6

0%

Top projected players

Hull City

EganDEF · 71 min · 2% goal
3.9
3.9
AjayiDEF · 64 min · 11% goal
3.8
3.8
TzolakisGKP · 67 min · 0% goal
3.4
3.4
MendyDEF · 55 min · 6% goal
3.2
3.2
GilesDEF · 70 min · 2% goal
3.2
3.2

Aston Villa

BarkleyMID · 61 min · 4% goal
2.5
2.5
BuendíaMID · 67 min · 5% goal
2.4
2.4
KamaraMID · 69 min · 2% goal
2.3
2.3
George HemmingsMID · 63 min · 2% goal
2.2
2.2
MaatsenDEF · 69 min · 2% goal
2.0
2.0

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 22:59. Hull City's rating carries 40% of this season's xG and Aston Villa's carries 40%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.