Brighton vs Leeds
Sat 5 Sep · 15:00Gameweek 3FT1-1
Projected goals
Brighton2.09
2.09
Leeds1.02
1.02
Clean-sheet odds
Brighton36%
36%
Leeds12%
12%
Win, draw, loss
62%
BHA win
20%
Draw
18%
LEE win
Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.
Most likely scorelines
BHA goals down the side, LEE goals across the top.
LEE
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
BHA0
4%
5%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
1
9%
10%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
2
10%
10%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
3
7%
7%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
4
4%
4%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
5
1%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Top projected players
Brighton
- De CuyperDEF · 68 min · 22% goal4.34.3
- GomezMID · 67 min · 11% goal3.33.3
- VuskovicDEF · 71 min · 4% goal2.92.9
- VerbruggenGKP · 67 min · 0% goal2.72.7
- GroßMID · 69 min · 4% goal2.62.6
Leeds
- Calvert-LewinFWD · 67 min · 27% goal2.82.8
- StachMID · 69 min · 4% goal2.72.7
- AmpaduMID · 69 min · 2% goal2.32.3
- AaronsonMID · 55 min · 2% goal2.02.0
- MuharemovićDEF · 71 min · 2% goal2.02.0
Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.
Recent trend
About this projection
Updated 22:59. Brighton's rating carries 40% of this season's xG and Leeds's carries 40%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.
The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.