Brentford vs Sunderland projection — GW3

Projected goals

Brentford

2.52

Sunderland

0.86

Clean-sheet odds

Brentford

42%

Sunderland

8%

Win, draw, loss

73%

BRE win

16%

Draw

11%

SUN win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

BRE goals down the side, SUN goals across the top.

SUN

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

BRE0

3%

1%

0%

1

9%

7%

3%

1%

0%

2

11%

9%

4%

1%

0%

3

9%

8%

3%

1%

0%

4

6%

5%

2%

1%

0%

5

3%

2%

1%

0%

6

1%

0%

Top projected players

Brentford

ThiagoFWD · 65 min · 45% goal
4.1
4.1
KayodeDEF · 67 min · 10% goal
3.7
3.7
Lewis-PotterMID · 68 min · 16% goal
3.6
3.6
AjerDEF · 71 min · 4% goal
3.4
3.4
SchadeMID · 68 min · 16% goal
3.4
3.4

Sunderland

XhakaMID · 69 min · 2% goal
2.5
2.5
E.Le FéeMID · 66 min · 6% goal
2.3
2.3
BrobbeyFWD · 54 min · 18% goal
2.3
2.3
SadikiMID · 69 min · 3% goal
2.1
2.1
N.AnguloMID · 54 min · 3% goal
2.0
2.0

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 22:59. Brentford's rating carries 40% of this season's xG and Sunderland's carries 40%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.