Goals, clean sheets & likely scorelines per fixture
FPL projections
Gameweek 2: projected goals, clean-sheet odds and the most likely scorelines for every fixture.
Early-season basis: FPL fixture difficulty — rolling xG takes over once every club has played 5 matches
Opponent
CRY
Fri 20:00
Man CityMCIH
Fri 28/08 20:00
—
—
MCI
Fri 20:00
Crystal PalaceCRYA
Fri 28/08 20:00
—
—
LIV
Sat 12:30
Nott'm ForestNFOH
Sat 29/08 12:30
—
—
NFO
Sat 12:30
LiverpoolLIVA
Sat 29/08 12:30
—
—
BOU
Sat 15:00
EvertonEVEH
Sat 29/08 15:00
—
—
EVE
Sat 15:00
BournemouthBOUA
Sat 29/08 15:00
—
—
COV
Sat 15:00
Hull CityHULH
Sat 29/08 15:00
—
—
HUL
Sat 15:00
Coventry CityCOVA
Sat 29/08 15:00
—
—
TOT
Sat 17:30
NewcastleNEWH
Sat 29/08 17:30
—
—
NEW
Sat 17:30
SpursTOTA
Sat 29/08 17:30
—
—
CHE
Sun 14:00
BrightonBHAH
Sun 30/08 14:00
—
—
BHA
Sun 14:00
ChelseaCHEA
Sun 30/08 14:00
—
—
SUN
Sun 14:00
FulhamFULH
Sun 30/08 14:00
—
—
FUL
Sun 14:00
SunderlandSUNA
Sun 30/08 14:00
—
—
LEE
Sun 14:00
BrentfordBREH
Sun 30/08 14:00
—
—
BRE
Sun 14:00
LeedsLEEA
Sun 30/08 14:00
—
—
MUN
Sun 16:30
Ipswich TownIPSH
Sun 30/08 16:30
—
—
IPS
Sun 16:30
Man UtdMUNA
Sun 30/08 16:30
—
—
AVL
Mon 20:00
ArsenalARSH
Mon 31/08 20:00
—
—
ARS
Mon 20:00
Aston VillaAVLA
Mon 31/08 20:00
—
—
About FPL Projections
FPL projections turn team strength data into per-fixture expectations: how many goals each team is likely to score, the probability of keeping a clean sheet, and the three most-likely final scorelines. They are a starting point for transfer decisions and captaincy picks.
The model behind these numbers is a Poisson distribution applied to each club's attack and defence rating, itself a blend of this season's rolling xG (last ten matches) and last season's form — a club moves fully onto this season's data as it plays more matches. A home-advantage scalar nudges the home team's expected goals upward to reflect long-run home-field bias. Top scorelines are the three highest-probability cells from a 7x7 goal grid, and every finished fixture is scored nightly against the actual result.
Use the gameweek links to see future fixtures, or open a fixture for its full scoreline grid and seven-day trend. Pair this page with the Fixture Difficulty grid for a complete picture: difficulty answers "how tough is this run?", projections answer "how many goals do we expect?".