Chelsea vs Spurs projection — GW8

Projected goals

Chelsea

2.87

Spurs

0.90

Clean-sheet odds

Chelsea

41%

Spurs

6%

Win, draw, loss

77%

CHE win

14%

Draw

9%

TOT win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

CHE goals down the side, TOT goals across the top.

TOT

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

CHE0

2%

1%

0%

1

7%

6%

3%

1%

0%

2

9%

4%

1%

0%

3

9%

8%

4%

1%

0%

4

7%

6%

3%

1%

0%

5

4%

3%

2%

0%

6

2%

1%

0%

Top projected players

Chelsea

RogersMID · 86 min · 36% goal
6.1
6.1
João PedroFWD · 90 min · 60% goal
6.0
6.0
PalmerMID · 87 min · 34% goal
5.5
5.5
LacroixDEF · 90 min · 3% goal
4.4
4.4
LaviaMID · 63 min · 23% goal
3.6
3.6

Spurs

TelMID · 77 min · 8% goal
2.8
2.8
TonaliMID · 85 min · 6% goal
2.8
2.8
BentancurMID · 75 min · 5% goal
2.5
2.5
MarmoushFWD · 58 min · 19% goal
2.3
2.3
GrayMID · 51 min · 4% goal
1.8
1.8

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 00:47. Chelsea's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Spurs's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.