Aston Villa vs Man City
Sat 24 Oct · 12:30Gameweek 8Upcoming
Projected goals
Aston Villa0.73
0.73
Man City1.94
1.94
Clean-sheet odds
Aston Villa14%
14%
Man City48%
48%
Win, draw, loss
13%
AVL win
21%
Draw
66%
MCI win
Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.
Most likely scorelines
AVL goals down the side, MCI goals across the top.
MCI
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
AVL0
7%
13%
13%
8%
4%
2%
1%
1
5%
10%
10%
6%
3%
1%
0%
2
2%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
0%
3
0%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
4
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
6
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Top projected players
Aston Villa
- BuendíaMID · 83 min · 12% goal3.03.0
- BarkleyMID · 80 min · 8% goal2.82.8
- KamaraMID · 90 min · 3% goal2.82.8
- McGinnMID · 87 min · 13% goal2.62.6
- George HemmingsMID · 78 min · 4% goal2.62.6
Man City
- HaalandFWD · 79 min · 43% goal4.64.6
- GuéhiDEF · 79 min · 15% goal4.54.5
- DonnarummaGKP · 90 min · 0% goal4.54.5
- RúbenDEF · 79 min · 2% goal3.93.9
- GvardiolDEF · 74 min · 4% goal3.73.7
Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.
Recent trend
About this projection
Updated 00:47. Aston Villa's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Man City's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.
The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.