Arsenal vs Everton projection — GW8

Projected goals

Arsenal

2.30

Everton

0.41

Clean-sheet odds

Arsenal

67%

Everton

10%

Win, draw, loss

80%

ARS win

15%

Draw

5%

EVE win

Scorelines beyond six goals for either side sit outside the model's grid; the three add to 100% after renormalising.

Most likely scorelines

ARS goals down the side, EVE goals across the top.

EVE

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

ARS0

7%

3%

1%

0%

1

15%

6%

1%

0%

2

18%

7%

1%

0%

3

14%

6%

1%

0%

4

8%

3%

1%

0%

5

4%

1%

0%

6

1%

0%

Top projected players

Arsenal

CalafioriDEF · 79 min · 13% goal
6.0
6.0
GabrielDEF · 90 min · 14% goal
5.8
5.8
SakaMID · 82 min · 35% goal
5.7
5.7
ØdegaardMID · 74 min · 25% goal
5.5
5.5
WhiteDEF · 90 min · 6% goal
5.4
5.4

Everton

Dewsbury-HallMID · 90 min · 7% goal
3.3
3.3
BarryFWD · 79 min · 26% goal
3.3
3.3
ArmstrongMID · 89 min · 3% goal
2.7
2.7
GeorgeMID · 78 min · 5% goal
2.6
2.6
TarkowskiDEF · 90 min · 2% goal
2.4
2.4

Projected points for this gameweek, from each player's own rates and this fixture's expected goals. All projected players.

Recent trend

About this projection

Updated 00:47. Arsenal's rating carries 60% of this season's xG and Everton's carries 60%; the rest is last season's form. A club moves fully onto this season's xG at 5 matches.

The underlying xG data was last aggregated today.